Massive threat for Japan and Formula 1
UBIMET | 3.10.14 | Počasí UBIMET F1
Meteo UBIMET F1
Vienna, 03.10.2014 The imminent threat to Japan from Typhoon PHANFONE is gradually unravelling. The current forecasts from Formula 1 Weather Service UBIMET indicates the arrival of rainbands, these at times heavy, for Sunday and, with the centre of the Typhoon will pass close by on Monday morning with widespread transport disruption, structural damage and possible injuries.
Wet Race likely scenario
For Sunday there are no significant changes to previous UBIMET-forecasts. The rain will largely be persistent - possibly with an occasional drier interlude - but also it will become heavy at times, this more likely after midday. Thus, at the scheduled time by 15:00 local time (8:00 CEST), a wet race seems to be a likely scenario. The expert on-site meteorologists Steffen Dietz and Andy Swan expect the passage of the typhoon centre between the early and the afternoon hours of Monday. "Probably PHANFONE will pass to the southeast of Suzuka. There are also model solutions that can draw the eye directly on the race circuit. In both cases severe structural damage is expected on Monday, with possible widespread severe damage from the second case."
Typhoon creates challenges for the Premiere in Sochi The huge mass of equipment that Formula 1 operates must be dismantled and packed up immediately after the race - Sunday evening into Monday (local time) and after that transported from Japan to Russia. The Grand Prix of Russia takes place on the following Sunday, October 12th. Keeping to this tight schedule will be wholly dependent on how the typhoon behaves and will surely be a tough challenge.
Graphics / Images:
Image / Title: Satellite Image of PHANFONE (VIS channel) from Friday, 2nd October 06 UTC (08 CEST), red dots show capitals; Credits: JMA / UBIMET
Graphics / Title: Estimated storm track from Friday 3rd until Monday 7th October, time information in Japanese local time; Credits: UBIMET
Image: Formula-1-Chief-Meteorologist Steffen Dietz; Credits: UBIMET
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